Federal scientists predict a strong El Niño this year, with a 97% likelihood of it being “strong” or “very strong” by December. This could significantly impact California, particularly with an increased chance of above-average rainfall in the southern region, raising risks of flash flooding and landslides. The El Niño phenomenon is marked by warmer ocean waters in the Pacific, which, alongside climate change, has already resulted in record sea temperatures. Historical data indicates that past strong El Niños led to substantial rainfall in cities like Los Angeles, although outcomes can vary.
The current situation also includes ongoing marine heatwaves off the California coast and an unusual typhoon forming due to high ocean temperatures. Generally, El Niño is linked to wetter winters across the southern U.S. and parts of South America while causing dry conditions in regions like the Pacific Northwest and parts of Asia.
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