Summary of Bitcoin in September 2025
In September 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) demonstrated notable resilience, achieving an 8% increase and maintaining support around $116,000. Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which stood at 57, signal a balanced momentum, while the Parabolic SAR indicates a bullish trend continuation.
Chain and Derivative Data Analysis
Despite historical weaknesses typically seen in September, Bitcoin’s performance has defied expectations, bolstered by a strong base and growing derivatives activity. The NVM ratio dropped to 2.3, reflecting a reduced valuation relative to market capitalization, which historically supports long-term price stability.
Market Dynamics
The long/short ratio of 1.20 suggests confidence among traders, highlighting resistance at $123,000, with potential for further gains if this barrier is crossed. Daily charts reveal that Bitcoin maintains a robust ascending trendline, with solid structural support. Persistent buying has upheld this momentum, suggesting a bullish outlook.
Derivatives and Leveraged Positions
At present, over 54% of traders are positioned long, indicating high confidence in Bitcoin’s potential to rise. While this could increase volatility, it also enhances demand at critical price levels, potentially driving Bitcoin towards $130,000 if $123,000 resistance is broken.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s current trends indicate a potential to break the "September Curse" by achieving a decisive monthly close above $123,000, setting the stage for new all-time highs. The combination of structural support, cooling valuation metrics, and trader confidence paints a promising picture for BTC’s future.


